ESSAYS ON FORECASTING THE NOBEL PRIZE:
'Of Nobel Class': Part 1. An Overview of ISI Studies on Highly Cited Authors and Nobel Laureates.
Essays of an Information Scientist, Vol:15, #33, p.116, August 17, 1992.
'Of Nobel Class': Part 2. Forecasting Nobel Prizes Using Citation Data and the Odds Against It'
Essays of an Information Scientist, Vol:15, #35, p.127, August 31, 1992.
Forecasting the Nobel Prize Winners: Some Caveats Are in Order.
The Scientist, Vol:4(19), October 1, 1990.
Essays of an Information Scientist, Vol:14, p.382, 1991.
More on forecasting Nobel prizes and the most cited scientists of 1972!
Essays of an Information Scientist, Vol:1, #41, p.487, October 3, 1973
Garfield, E. "Citation Indexing for studying science ," Nature, 227 (5259) p.669-671, 1970.
Reprinted in:Current Contents, November 18, 1970; Essays of an Information Scientist,
V.1, p.132-138 pdf file available
First list of 50 most cited authors which includes a dozen past or future Nobelists.
Garfield E. and Malin, M. V. "Can Nobel Prize winners be predicted? " p.1-17, 1968.
Presentation (Unpublished), No:166.
Paper presented at 135th Annual Meeting, AAAS, Dallas, TX. December 26-31, 1968
New Tools for Improving and Evaluating The Effectiveness of Research
M.C. Yovits, D.M. Gilford, R.H. Wilcox, E. Staveley and H.D. Lemer, Eds., Research Program Effectiveness, Proceedings of the Conference Sponsored by the Office of Naval Research Washington, D.C., July 27-29, 1965 (New York: Gordon and Breach, 1966) p.135-146.